Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction, Odds: 2022 Week 13 College Football Picks, Iron Bowl Betting Using Proven Model

College football’s rivalry weekend is here, and that means the 2022 Iron Bowl, where the Alabama Crimson Tide will host the Auburn Tigers on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Alabama (9-2) is seventh in the latest College Football Playoff rankings but will almost certainly not be fighting for a national title for the second time in nine years. Losing to top-10 teams LSU and Tennessee, The Tide meets an Auburn team that is 5-6 and playing under a caretaker manager. But the Tigers are 2-1 under former star player Cadillac Williams and have beaten Texas A&M and Western Kentucky in the past two weeks. The Tide is 5-2 in the SEC after four straight games against ranked teams and will have to watch Georgia and LSU play for the conference title in Atlanta next week.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 22-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Auburn odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5. Before placing any Auburn vs. Alabama tips or bets, be sure to review the SportsLine projection model college football predictions and betting advice.

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The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has tuned in to Auburn vs. Alabama and just revealed his picks and CFB predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Alabama vs. Auburn:

  • Distribution of Auburn vs. Alabama: Crimson Tide -22
  • Auburn vs. Alabama Over/Under: 50.5 points
  • Money line between Auburn and Alabama: Crimson Tide -2400, Tigers +1150
  • AUB: Your six losses average 16.5 points
  • ALA: Your two losses total three points
  • Auburn vs. Alabama pick: See picks here
  • Auburn vs. Alabama Streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigers

Why Alabama Can Cover

Alabama is 5-0 at home, 4-1 against the spreads, and the home side has covered five straight Iron Bowls. Auburn’s only hope is running the ball, but the tide ranks 14th in fast defense and allows 108 yards per play on the ground. They allow 4.4 yards per game (4th) while the Tigers are averaging 5.3 (76th). The Tide are fourth in FBS in point difference, outperforming their opponents by an average of 22.8 points. Tigers quarterback Robby Ashford completes 49% of his shots, has had 20 layoffs and has six TD passes and seven interceptions in eight starts.

All-American Will Anderson, the reigning SEC Defensive Player of the Year, has returned eight sacks and one interception for a TD this season. The Tide is also impressive on offense, led by Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young, who has 2,644 passing yards, 24 TDs and four interceptions while struggling with a shoulder problem. Tide offense averages 40 points (6th in FBS) and 472 yards per contest (17th). Auburn is giving up 29 points (81st) and 396 yards per game (78th). Alabama has won 111-1 in their last 112 games against unranked opponents.

Why Auburn Can Cover

Williams, a star who ran back for the Tigers from 2001-04, seems to have gotten the team going and they could play hard to get him the full-time job. They’ll also be desperate for the win, which can secure a 10th straight bowl berth in a season that’s been rapidly going downhill. Alabama is strong against the run, but that’s what Auburn does best, so Tank Bigsby will see a lot of work. The junior is 36th in the nation with 907 rushing yards and has 10 TDs. Quarterback Robby Ashford will make for a different look as he has 589 yards on the ground.

Ashford has struggled as a passer, but he has strong options to throw at, with receivers Koy Moore and Ja’Varrius Johnson and running back Jarquez Hunter each averaging at least 14.9 yards per catch. Bigsby ran for 110 yards in last week’s win while Hunter ran for 109 yards and threw a 20-yard touchdown pass to Moore. The Tigers’ defense has 12 takeaways and 26 sacks. Defensive end Derick Hall has 6.5 sacks, an interception and a fumble recovery. Auburn is 4-0 ATS in its last four games in November and 4-3 ATS in its SEC games this season.

How to do Auburn vs. Alabama picks

The model has simulated the duel between Alabama and Auburn 10,000 times and the results are in. The model rolls over to the grand total and predicts that the teams will collectively score 58 points. The model also generated a point spread pick that hits in more than 50% of the simulations. The model’s CFB picks are only available from SportsLine.

So, who will win Saturday’s duel between Auburn and Alabama in Tuscaloosa? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of last Saturday’s Alabama vs. Auburn will be played, all from the progressive model that annihilated its top-flight college football picks and find out, and don’t forget, to stream on Paramount+.