The number 18 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) will travel to Portland to battle the No. 15 Michigan State Spartans (3-1) Thursday at 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below we analyze the lines of Tipico Sportsbook around the Alabama vs. Michigan State oddsand meet our college basketball tips, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
While Alabama has won its first 4 games by averaging 27.25 points, the Crimson Tide have played against Logwood, Liberty, South Alabama and Jacksonville State. As Alabama gets into its season and starts playing more challenging opponents in the SEC, the losses will come and the Tide’s ability to recover will be tested. That more challenging schedule begins Thursday against an already challenged Michigan State team.
Coach Tom Izzo, as usual, has the Spartans playing the most challenging schedule in the country. During the first month of the season, MSU has already played 3 games that many other teams would not include in their non-conference schedule. They lost 64-63 to Gonzaga, beat Kentucky 86-79 and defeated Villanova 73-71.
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Odds between Alabama and Michigan State
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; For a full list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Hub. The lines were last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
- Money Line (ML): Alabama -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Michigan State +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Against Spread (ATS): Alabama +-4.5 (-110) | State of Michigan +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | B: -110)
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Selection and predictions between Alabama and Michigan State
State of Michigan 73, Alabama 68
BET MICHIGAN STATE +160.
Games against Villanova, Kentucky and Gonzaga prepared the Spartans for this duel in Portland against Alabama. Victories over Villanova and Kentucky have shown Michigan State’s ability to beat teams thought to have superior talent. Izzo prepares his children for all challengers. That’s why, even when seeded lower, they’re always a dangerous tournament team. In this game, as a +160 underdog, I like that the Spartans win outright. No need for spread. State of Michigan +160 is my favorite game.
Against the spread
Since Michigan State is likely to win this game against favored Alabama, the spread is not the right way to bet this game. At +160 ML I’d rather bet on the Spartans than the +4.5 (-115).
BET UNDER 145.5 (-110).
In 2 games against Jacksonville State and Liberty, Alabama scored 104 and 95 points. In two other games against South Alabama and Longwood, Tide scored 65 and 75 points. Points can go up and down for Tide. In this duel with Michigan State, the Spartans will control the pace and keep the game at a level that pleases them. Mid 60’s to early 70’s.
Both teams are 2-2 over the season. After this game, both teams should be leading 2-3. Take Under 145.5 (-110).
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